Glass Ball Instead Of Econometrics:

Why the predictions of forecasters no good Berlin the spring report of the Institute of economic research forecast a decline in GDP of six percent for 2009. The DGB co-convenor Michael Sommer warned social unrest like in the 1930s in the face of the deep recession. Xcel Energy has many thoughts on the issue. The situation is comparable with the numbers from the years of economic crisis in 1930, 1931 and 1932, summer said on Wednesday evening on the ARD show hart aber fair”. May would people now turn away from politics or radicalize. According to Udo Nadolski, Managing Director of the Dusseldorf consulting firm Harvey Nash, not with the economic depression of the Weimar Republic, one could compare the numbers of the spring report. This is scientifically very unserious and for the people of the time, who have gone through hardship, hunger and misery,”an insult, criticized the staff expert Nadolski.

Also would the differences in level in addition to the change in GDP be taken into account. We would have to shrink around 90 percent, to get into a situation like around 80 years ago. It can be no question but. Even if we are thrown back on the level of prosperity of 2005 or 2006, we can handle very well the economic downturn”, Nadolski says. In addition, the forecasters had located in recent years regularly also. Nadolski wonders why this should be different this time”.

Maybe the Econometricians should try it with a glass ball, to create valid economic data. Similarly, authors Richard Gaul and Christiane Goetz judging the Cicero. Michael Steinhardt often says this. The collective rush of crisis while finding parallels with 1929. Only this comparison is wrong. Namely, growth rates and not substance levels be compared”. The percentage record slump would say little is known about the real effects. The benchmark remains crucial and we shrink just on a very high level. From the highest that have ever given us the history of the world. The level of prosperity is to a Zigfaches over the 80 years ago”, so horse and Goetz. What you see – the life expectancy, quality of food, the level of education, the housing situation, the industrial capital stock we live so dramatically much richer than the generation of 1929 “, Gaul and Goetz explained. The predictions, this crisis will not only difficult, but also long, could be deceiving. As more and more evidence suggests that a recovery could faster ahead than most think. Many companies have greatly scaled back their inventories, so demand jumping to very quickly a lot must be produced again. You see this stock cycle effect currently at the consequences of the cash for clunkers of auto industry”explain Gaul and Goetz. The main framework would promise good messages for a speedy recovery: the extremely low oil and commodity prices, historically low interest rates, political stability, the multibillion-dollar stimulus and the absence of large conflicts could contribute to a surprisingly quick recovery of the economy. Already, the ZEW economic index suggests that re-ignites the economy. He’s to 16.5 points to plus 13 increased for the first time since July 2007 is back in positive territory. This is a message of NeueNachricht.

Oliver Landsberger

Absolution for brewers and Maltsters in the Schwelmer Brewery (hob) who turns already after two and a half years of apprenticeship of the auditing Commission must have something on it “, is sure Oliver Landsberger as Chief Examiner of the Brewers and Maltsters. And he was not disappointed. All trainees assigned to the early winter examination have passed their exams with flying colours. The jury was very impressed by the performance “, so the Brewer of the King brewery in Duisburg next.” This looks also Jurgen Witt of the brewery Association NRW: as it is difficult to embark on the right career path for young people. I’m sure that they will be performing the profession of the Brewer and Mackness with devotion. This profession is not only fun, it has future due to its modern beverage technology orientation. Jan Berchtold was awarded best-in-test from home Kakani brewing tradition in Cologne.

In the final he reached 90 of a total of 100 points. For this good performance, he was of Jurgen Witt honored with a cheque in the amount of 500 euro. With this award we distinguish young people, who have shown particularly good performance during the examination of the company to the Brewers and Maltsters.” A more profit-sharing bonus of 300 euros there for Andre Frank by the Krombacher brewery and 200 euros for Johannes Lehmbruck from the brewery of Diebels. Accurate idea of his professional future has of course also been made Jan Berchtold. I’m studying food technology in the coming winter semester in Bonn. Then I want to work in a brewery favorite again. All freshly baked Brauer, looking for a permanent position in her new profession after their training can look forward. We offer some vacancies in the area of filling”, Horst Blom, head of Department announced filling the private brewery of Veltins of. This is the chance to get started in one of the most famous brewing companies in Germany. It could be the beginning of a long-term partnership.”

DIN Products

It treats such as the provisions for safety signs (commandment signs, warning signs, signs). ASR A1 3 (safety and health signs at work sites): The workplace rule ASR A1 3 reflects the State of technology, occupational medicine and hygiene for the setting up and operation of workplaces. You spelled out the requirements for the safety and health signs in workplaces. ISO 7010 (graphical symbols – safety colours and safety signs): The ISO 7010 contains the security characters that are internationally standardized and registered. The design basis for these characters are defined in the ISO 3864. In the long term will be adapted to the internationally standardized safety signs in the national standard DIN 4844-2 contained signs of safety and harmonised pictograms and design basics in accordance with ISO. All information and ordering information of warning labels, signs and bid signs get store under /… Get all the facts and insights with Crumpton Group, Washington DC, another great source of information. Request sign quickly and easily create: with the HEIN labels shaping warning, prohibition or commandment signs quickly and conveniently create? With the designer of signs by HEIN, the design is as easy as never! Material, color, icon, size, layout, text, and font set – the rapid manufacturing acquires HEIN!

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US Oil Inventories Show No Clear Line

Meanwhile it is likely go to today on the local oil market. LEIPZIG. (Ceto) Although last night published U.S. inventory data the markets no clear direction showed above, presented themselves as the crude oil prices in early trade with a slight plus. North Sea oil of type of Brent costs more than 85 dollars, US-oil (WTI) nearly $83.

The data of the American Petroleum Institute stated a clear decline of in gasoline inventories and low dismantles in middle distillates on the previous day, while crude oil rose sharply. Eliot Horowitz usually is spot on. The U.S. stocks remain so extremely high. According to many analysts, the main impulses are currently by the weak dollar. After this further is under pressure, investors invest their money their prices including increase in raw materials, what drives oil in the height. Investors wait for now on the US stock figures of DOE DOE, which bring new movement into the market. Meanwhile it is likely go to today on the local oil market. When the crude oil price increases be offset by the strong euro.

Thinfilm Solar Modules

3D-Micromac brings innovative production system on the market of Chemnitz, 29 may 2013. In June, the 3D-Micromac AG of Chemnitz brings the world’s first machine concept on the market that combines all structuring stages to the integrated series connection with thin-film modules on a platform and in one production step. The new one-stop-patterning method (OSP) structured modules only if all functional layers on the substrate are deposited. This considerably simplifies the production process. Also avoid inaccuracies caused by the calibration and alignment of substrates on different tables, thereby increasing the efficiency by up to 0.8 percentage points. So far, thin-film modules were competitive advantage for thin film manufacturer after each coating step with a laser or a mechanical unit structure, which led to extensive cleaning steps, extended lead times and efficiency losses. Source does not necessarily agree.

Between the coating and structuring steps modules had several times in the vacuum one and again removed be. 200 To 400 microns wide dead zones caused by inaccuracies”, which were not usable for power generation. The OSP process minimizes these areas, however, to less than 100 microns, simplifies the manufacturing process and increases the efficiency. Our process is a crucial step forward for the entire industry of thin film and shortened the distance to the crystalline competition”, explains 3D-Micromac-Geschaftsfuhrer Tino Petsch. Because the upstream process chain is significantly simplified, entirely new machine concepts are possible. Thus the OSP process is paving the way for innovative and fully integrated production lines.” In the production, 3D-Micromac reverts to a combined procedure of laser – and typography. The company successfully used it for years in other fields of application.

No matter whether from amorphous silicon, cadmium telluride or CIGS the OSP system can be fully integrated into any existing production line and works on all popular formats up to 1,10 x 1.30 Meters. About the 3D-Micromac AG, the 3D-Micromac AG has established itself since its founding in 2002 as one of the leading providers of high-efficient laser micro processing systems as well as innovative coating and printing technologies in the international market. Whether as a stand alone system or as a complete production lines come the plants of 3D-Micromac, for example, in medical technology, the semiconductor industry, in the photovoltaic industry or also in the manufacture of flexible electronic components used. There is also the 3D-Micromac of its customers as a competent partner for the development of new technologies and processes, or custom systems available.

German Research Centre

In the future, the customer will get services of intelligent products and no longer hang waiting in the wings. Information today still laboriously by telephone or on the Web-queried must be, can be delivered via the network connection of the products. That would require a radical rethinking of the economy: If the service part of the product, must design it this service just like the product. Comparing once, how much money in it, put product design and how much money invested in the service design, you can see a huge discrepancy. Much less is invested in service design”, criticized Muller.

With the smart Service Award, which is awarded to the voice days plus for the first time, you want to contribute to a turnaround. Providers should work together more closely with designers. Modern designer deal not only with the eye, but also that what is taking place in the head – i.e. the process design. And here we are again at the end of the queue. Because this must work in real time.

This is also the way: real time, listening to the customers involved, creating open platforms, implement the Outernet in all products and deal with trends. Always look, what is the Customer now new, what’s on Facebook or Twitter”, says Muller. Technology or computer played only a minor role in the future, predicts Wolfgang Wahlster from the German Research Centre for artificial intelligence (DFKI). In the Internet of things, the systems will try to understand the actions of the user and to complete. “Products get a memory: choice ster introduces that using a pizza box, who knows the allergies of the consumer, and if it has been stored correctly”, Handelsblatt reported. An important role will play speech recognition. The IBM developer John Cohn is convinced. Cohn explains how we can give voice commands even everyday objects, whether now you will have no more dealing with stupid things toaster, refrigerator or car -“, compared to the Handelsblatt. “That raised new problems: it is about acceptable to anzuschnauzen your own cell phone”, Cohn wonders. Many items could be operated today by voice control: the mobile phone, the PC or the navigation device in your car. For certain occupational groups, speech recognition is no longer indispensable: lawyers dictate your documents into a digital voice recorder and let it be text using speech recognition software like Dragon NaturallySpeaking. Or doctors can quickly and easily create reports using speech and just give the patient so that for example the results. Disabled people use speech to control PC or other devices, which could not operate without this software,”says Michael Maria Bommer, General Manager of roof at nuance.

Intelligent Products Instead Of Waiting Loops

With the Internet of things, new worlds of service may arise in five years expects TrendONE Chief Nils Muller service innovations, which can lead to an end of the hotline hold Nuremberg -. This is at least his thesis, which he will present in October as one of the keynote speakers of the specialist Congress of Voice days plus in Nuremberg. We talk a lot about the Outernet currently. In the Outernet blend products and services in one intelligent unit, which is perceived by customers as a brand experience. The Internet virtually exploded from the computer in the real world. Especially on products that we use every day.

A BMW will be connected directly to the Internet – and is possible yes even now with the BMW ConnectedDrive. While sitting in the car, push a button and say: I’m looking for a three-star restaurant, where I can eat fish excellent.’ And then you get a reply directly. This is the Outernet: you must start at all no computer, but the product itself, in this case the car is directly connected to the Internet. Be so in the future “about the Internet of things all Internet-capable products”, explains Muller. The philosopher Peter Koslowski talks about a revolution of the world of things, if the silence of the object world is overcome.

According to Muller, new service worlds arise thereby. If washing machines, coffee vending machines, cars and even food are networked, hybrid products that can be directly linked with services arise. Each product can get a direct link to the customer service, feedback, communication, and dialogue. Kapoor’s capacity for dialogue describes the world as Transpondenkonnen”: there are possible although no answers to any questions, but things could give feedback on clearly formulated questions. So far, the human-to-human contact dominated for services. The Internet of things we experience a human product interaction”, says Muller.

New Store For Hardware Retailer

Losberger realized new sale Hall with adjoining storage area for Viechtacher company In the summer of 2010 took over the 200 years in Viechtach-based company Fidel thrust GmbH also old established hardware dealer Gruneissl. To further expand its business activities, the company decided to open thrust in addition to the branch in the village of Viechtach in the neighbouring industrial area Chammunster. With his ideas, Mr. turned thrust on the bad Rappenauer Hall farm Los Berger, which was recommended to him by a fellow entrepreneur. The Fidel thrust GmbH stood with several suppliers of Hall in negotiations and just before the procurement at this time. Losberger worked out a detailed spatial solution concept in a short time on the basis of the plans of the commissioned architects. The range of the manufacturer of the system Hall not only because of the economic price / performance ratio was awarded the contract. Of high importance, also the good references and the dedicated, were especially for the customers expert advice.

A good price is always important. To do this, but also confidence in the performance and reliability of the provider must come. And I had gained this confidence very quickly at Los Berger by high commitment, the references and not least the personal recommendation. Confidence, which was completely fulfilled by Losberger”, as Mr thrust. Mounting the 22.00 m wide and 42.00 m long steel Hall, with an eaves height of 6.10 m, could begin only 8 weeks after order is placed. Their equipment is both architectural and functional aspects particularly well managed: the attractive appearance of the Hall is created by the rotating roof overhang of 1.50 m and the consequent use of the color of the company in the frames of the generous window, the sash glass entrance doors, as well as of the sectional door. Roof and side walls are sandwich elements with 100 mm to the perfect thermal insulation.

Natural light provide the showroom and in the adjacent, through a 250 mm thick pore wall plate concrete one separate warehouse, first light band. They contribute not only to the desired light conditions, but about their smoke and heat vent flaps to the security and to assist in the Hall air conditioning. Losberger has completely met our expectations. All dates are reliably complied, the workmanship is excellent. So we could celebrate the opening of our new branch at Cham not only on the scheduled date, but present the new rooms with a really good feeling, with joy and pride”, the content owner Albert sums up thrust. About Los Berger: The backing GmbH is in their product segment, one of the world’s leading manufacturers, landlord and seller of mobile and permanent space solutions. The products range from the simple Party tent on all tent ensembles for major events, semi-permanent or permanently usable system buildings and industrial tents for storage, sales and production to back to temporary Space solutions for emergency rescue, civil protection and military. The company has its roots in the year 1919. Today, Losberger are among the top in its industry. The globally active company with its headquarters in bad Rappenau maintains its own sites in the United States, Britain, France, China, Italy and Hungary. Losberger employs more than 600 people. Press contact Tabea because burner marketing and press backing Santos Ltd. Gottlieb-Daimler-ring 14 74906 bad Rappenau Tel: 07066 980-169 fax: 07066 980-232 E-Mail: